\u0130srail ve ABD’nin ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz cumartesi \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar, Orta Do\u011fu’da gerginli\u011fi h\u0131zla t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131. \u0130ran, \u0130srail ve K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerine f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fczenleyerek kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verirken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n gemi ge\u00e7i\u015flerine kapat\u0131lmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda ciddi bir kriz olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirdi. Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu’nun (IMF) analizine g\u00f6re, enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda bir y\u0131l boyunca y\u00fczde 10’luk bir art\u0131\u015f, k\u00fcresel enflasyonu 40 baz puan art\u0131rabilir. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, bu durum k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi de y\u00fczde 0,2 oran\u0131nda yava\u015flatabilir.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndan sevkiyat\u0131n durmas\u0131, d\u00fcnya genelinde s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011falgaz (LNG) arz\u0131nda daralmaya yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Katar’daki \u00fcretim tesislerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar da enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki riskleri art\u0131rd\u0131. Hollanda merkezli TTF’de do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131 son g\u00fcnlerde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. 27 \u015eubat’ta megavatsaat ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 32 avro olan do\u011falgaz fiyat\u0131, 3 Mart’ta y\u00fczde 68 artarak 52 avronun \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131, d\u00fcnya piyasas\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 110 milyar metrek\u00fcpl\u00fck gaz arz\u0131n\u0131n kayb\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n
Bo\u011faz \u00fczerinden, k\u00fcresel petrol t\u00fcketiminin ve LNG arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20’sinin ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. Bo\u011faz\u0131n kapanmas\u0131, piyasadan g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varil petrol \u00e7ekilmesine neden olurken, alternatif rotalarla yaln\u0131zca 5 milyon varillik sevkiyat telafi edilebiliyor. Sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana brent petrol fiyat\u0131 y\u00fczde 13’ten fazla artarak 85 dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7ti. Baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerin \u00fcretimi azaltma kararlar\u0131 da fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Irak’\u0131n petrol \u00fcretimini durdurma karar\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Uzmanlar, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 durumunda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 ila 150 dolara \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bo\u011fazdaki gemi hareketlili\u011fi de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azald\u0131; ge\u00e7i\u015flerin ask\u0131ya al\u0131nmas\u0131yla trafik y\u00fczde 90 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 150’den fazla petrol tankeri Basra K\u00f6rfezi’nde demirledi, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalarda en az be\u015f tanker hasar g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve iki denizci ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 yitirdi. B\u00f6lgede yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 bin denizci ve 15 bin yolcu mahsur kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Avrupa’da do\u011falgaz depolama tesislerinin doluluk oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 30’un alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Hollanda, \u0130sve\u00e7, H\u0131rvatistan ve Letonya’da rezervler kritik seviyelerin alt\u0131na indi. Almanya’da da enerji fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zla y\u00fckseliyor; Super E10 benzinin litre fiyat\u0131 2 avronun \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Alman Ekonomi Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 150 dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 halinde \u00fclke ekonomisinin ciddi b\u00fcy\u00fcme kayb\u0131 ya\u015fayabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Sava\u015f\u0131n etkileri, T\u00fcrkiye dahil bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede ekonomik sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilir. T\u00fcrkiye’de enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fczde 7 ila 18 aras\u0131nda artabilece\u011fi, enflasyonun 5 ila 10 puan y\u00fckselebilece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. ABD’de enflasyonun y\u00fczde 0,8 artabilece\u011fi, borsa de\u011ferlerinin de y\u00fczde 10 ila 15 aras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermesi bekleniyor. Uzmanlar, k\u0131sa vadede savunma sanayi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilecek bir sekt\u00f6r olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan, sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin k\u00fcresel g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilece\u011fini vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Erdo\u011fan, “Gerekli m\u00fcdahalede bulunulmazsa \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcrecinin b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok ciddi neticeleri olacakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle yang\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden s\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi \u015fartt\u0131r,” ifadelerini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u0130srail ve ABD’nin \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla Orta Do\u011fu’da gerilim artarken, \u0130ran’\u0131n misillemeleri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131 enerji piyasalar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir krizi tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/737\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=737"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}