2026’n\u0131n ortalar\u0131ndan itibaren ortaya \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimali bulunan El Nino, d\u00fcnya genelindeki s\u0131cakl\u0131k ve ya\u011f\u0131\u015f d\u00fczenlerini etkilemesi bekleniyor. \u0130klim modelleri, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana n\u00f6tr ko\u015fullar g\u00f6sterse de, El Nino’nun etkileri \u00f6n planda. Pasifik Okyanusu’ndaki bu hava olay\u0131, okyanus k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgelerde s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131na yol a\u00e7arken, bunun tersi olan La Nina ise daha so\u011fuk hava ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 getiriyor. El Nino’nun temmuz ay\u0131nda etkili olmas\u0131 beklenirken, emtia piyasas\u0131nda yeni bir g\u00fcndem olu\u015fabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Vadeli i\u015flem ve emtia piyasalar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Zafer Ergezen, El Nino’nun temmuzda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimalinin %80’in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. K\u0131\u015f mevsimi i\u00e7in bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n %90’\u0131 bulabilece\u011fini ifade eden Ergezen, deniz y\u00fczeyi s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla El Nino etkilerinin g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. Okyanuslardaki \u0131s\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri, \u00f6zellikle Amerika’ya do\u011fru esen r\u00fczgarlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131yla birlikte daha fazla kurakl\u0131k ve s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Asya ve Avustralya’da ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n azalmas\u0131, Amerika k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131nda ise artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Ergezen, Asya’daki hava de\u011fi\u015fikliklerinin palm ya\u011f\u0131, kakao ve pamuk gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnler \u00fczerinde riskler olu\u015fturabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti. Endonezya’n\u0131n k\u00fcresel palm ya\u011f\u0131 arz\u0131n\u0131n %60’\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Ergezen, bu \u00fclkelerdeki hava de\u011fi\u015fimlerinin \u00f6nemine vurgu yapt\u0131. Kakao \u00fcretiminde ise ge\u00e7mi\u015fte her El Nino d\u00f6neminde azalma g\u00f6zlemlendi\u011fini, bu y\u0131l de\u011fil ama 2027’de fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00f6rebilece\u011fimizi ifade etti. Pamuk taraf\u0131nda Hindistan ve Pakistan etkilerinin \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu dile getirdi.<\/p>\n
Pirin\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131nda da dalgalanma ya\u015fanabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen Ergezen, Tayland ve Vietnam’daki zay\u0131f ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n pirin\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilece\u011fini belirtti. Ancak soya fasulyesi gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde art\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fini de ekledi. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir El Nino y\u0131l\u0131 olabilece\u011fini ifade eden uzman, tar\u0131m \u00fcr\u00fcnleri fiyatlar\u0131nda dalgalanma ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin olabilece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ergezen, Hindistan’daki muson d\u00f6neminin bu y\u0131l \u00f6nemli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, burada ya\u015fanacak ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n pamuk, \u015feker, pirin\u00e7 ve palm ya\u011f\u0131 gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlere y\u00f6nelik beklentileri \u015fekillendirece\u011fini belirtti. Normal bir muson d\u00f6nemi riskleri azaltabilirken, zay\u0131f bir muson, El Nino etkisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ortalar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenen El Nino olay\u0131, k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131k ve ya\u011f\u0131\u015f d\u00fczenleri \u00fczerinde etkili olacak. Uzmanlar, Asya ve Avustralya’da kurakl\u0131k, Amerika’da ise artan ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-3169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3169\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3169"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=3169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}