T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), piyasa akt\u00f6rlerinin ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle ilgili beklentilerine dair Haziran 2026 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. Veriler, enflasyon ve d\u00f6viz kuru tahminlerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler oldu\u011funu, b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinde ise yatay ve hafif bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011funu ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n
Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi, \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemdeki y\u00fczde 28,94 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 29,14\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu durum, piyasan\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli enflasyon tahminlerinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Orta vadeli beklentilerde ise daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm mevcut. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 23,82\u2019den y\u00fczde 23,81\u2019e gerilerken, 24 ay sonras\u0131 tahmin y\u00fczde 18,43\u2019ten y\u00fczde 18,29\u2019a d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, Borsa \u0130stanbul Repo-Ters Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019ndaki gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 40 seviyesinde sabit kald\u0131. TCMB\u2019nin Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin politika faizi beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 37 olarak belirlendi.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l sonu dolar\/TL beklentisi, \u00f6nceki ankette 51,57 TL iken, bu d\u00f6nemde 51,47 TL seviyesine hafif bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Ancak, 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru tahmini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket etti ve \u00f6nceki de\u011feri 54,69 TL iken, bu d\u00f6nemde 55,72 TL\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinde ise k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyon yap\u0131ld\u0131. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 3,3\u2019ten y\u00fczde 3,2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 2027 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek y\u00fczde 4,1 seviyesinde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Genel olarak anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon, faiz ve d\u00f6viz kuru beklentilerinde temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sergiledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. TCMB verileri, ekonomik g\u00f6stergelere y\u00f6nelik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimlerle belirlendi\u011fini ve piyasan\u0131n genel olarak dengeli ama ihtiyatl\u0131 bir beklenti seti olu\u015fturdu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik beklentilerini i\u00e7eren Haziran 2026 anketinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Enflasyon ve d\u00f6viz kuru tahminlerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri ise hafif geriledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2114,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-2113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finans"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2113","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2113"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2113\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2114"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2113"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=2113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}