Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD), Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n etkileri nedeniyle k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l ve 2027\u2019de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. OECD, bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcy\u00fc, 3-4 Haziran tarihlerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen Bakanlar Konseyi Toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 “Bask\u0131 Alt\u0131nda” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporunda a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, ABD\/\u0130srail-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiye olan etkilerine de\u011finilirken, sava\u015f\u0131n ne kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fi ve boyutuna dair belirsizliklerin devam etti\u011fi vurguland\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n sona ermesinin ard\u0131ndan bile altyap\u0131 ve ula\u015f\u0131m yollar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131n zaman alaca\u011f\u0131 ve tedarik zincirinin normale d\u00f6nmesinin aylar s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
OECD\u2019nin tahminlerine g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor. 2027 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 3,8 olarak belirlendi\u011fi ifade edildi. \u00d6rg\u00fct daha \u00f6nceki raporunda T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 3,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Y\u00fcksek enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de i\u00e7 talebi bask\u0131layabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesine ra\u011fmen, y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin artmas\u0131 ve faizlerde beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 destekleyece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin devam etmesi halinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun, 2027\u2019nin ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin alt\u0131na inmesi bekleniyor. Ancak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimlerin fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi ve bu durumun enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecini riske atabilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor. S\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesinin enflasyon beklentilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in kritik oldu\u011fu vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
OECD, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan etkilenmesine ra\u011fmen, petrol, do\u011fal gaz ve g\u00fcbre ithalat\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden gelmemesi nedeniyle di\u011fer \u00fclkelere g\u00f6re daha g\u00fcvenli bir konumda oldu\u011funu belirtti. Bununla birlikte, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Avrupa\u2019daki talep durgunlu\u011fu ve imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki \u00c7in hakimiyetine kar\u015f\u0131 hassasiyetini korudu\u011fu ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Raporda, Asya ekonomilerinin mevcut ve olas\u0131 \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 en do\u011frudan maruz kalan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda oldu\u011fu da belirtiliyor. OECD, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2025\u2019te y\u00fczde 3,4 seviyesine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu y\u0131l ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 2,8\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Ayr\u0131ca, G20 \u00fclkelerinde enflasyonun bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve 2027\u2019de tekrar y\u00fczde 3,1 seviyesine inmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Uzun s\u00fcreli belirsizlik senaryosunda ise, 2027\u2019nin ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerine kadar bar\u0131\u015f sa\u011flanamamas\u0131 durumunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak maliyetlerin, K\u00f6rfez ekonomilerindeki enerji \u00fcretimi ve ihracat\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkileyece\u011fi kaydedildi. Bu durumun, verimlilik ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 etkileri olabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
OECD, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 3,1 olarak belirledi. K\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ise 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,4 seviyesine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1926,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-1925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finans"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1925","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1925"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1925\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1926"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1925"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1925"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1925"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=1925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}