Ekonomi Bilirki\u015fi Kurulu, Almanya ekonomisine dair g\u00fcncel de\u011ferlendirmesinde 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) tahminini y\u00fczde 0,5 olarak g\u00fcncelledi. 2027 y\u0131l\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tahmin ise y\u00fczde 0,8 olarak korundu. Daha \u00f6nceki tahminlerde, 2026 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,9\u2019luk bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Raporda, Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n enerji piyasalar\u0131nda yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dalgalanmalara dikkat \u00e7ekildi. Petrol ve do\u011fal gaz fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyonu y\u00fckseltti\u011fi, hane halk\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve sanayi \u00fcretimini olumsuz etkiledi\u011fi ifade edildi. Ekonomi uzmanlar\u0131, jeopolitik risklerin \u00fcretim maliyetlerini art\u0131rarak \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkiledi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Kurulun projeksiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re Almanya’da 2025’te y\u00fczde 2,2 seviyesinde olan enflasyonun, 2026’da y\u00fczde 3’e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 2,8’e gerilemesi bekleniyor. Artan enerji maliyetlerinin fiyatlar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporun \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerinden birinde, Almanya’da ya\u015flanan n\u00fcfusun sosyal g\u00fcvenlik sistemi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekildi. Prim oranlar\u0131n\u0131n 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 50 seviyesine yakla\u015fabilece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. Uzmanlar, sa\u011fl\u0131k ve bak\u0131m sistemlerinde yap\u0131sal reform yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ve maliyetlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Almanya’n\u0131n geleneksel ihracata dayal\u0131 ekonomik modelinin, k\u00fcresel rekabet, y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetleri ve tedarik zinciri sorunlar\u0131 nedeniyle zorluklarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi. \u00d6zellikle \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 rekabet ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n sanayi \u00fcretimini zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Ekonomi Bilirki\u015fi Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Monika Schnitzer, sosyal g\u00fcvenlik harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirterek, mevcut e\u011filimlerin devam etmesi durumunda b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Almanya’da 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la tahmini y\u00fczde 0,5’e revize edildi. Enerji krizi ve jeopolitik riskler ekonomiyi olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1822,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-1821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finans"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1821","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1821"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1821\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1822"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1821"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1821"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1821"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=1821"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}