Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisiyle ilgili g\u00fcncel de\u011ferlendirmesini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Fitch, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uzun vadeli d\u00f6viz cinsinden kredi notunu \u2018BB-\u2019 olarak korurken, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc \u2018pozitiften\u2019 \u2018dura\u011fana\u2019 g\u00fcncelledi.<\/p>\n
Bu de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fin, \u00f6zellikle \u0130ran ile ba\u015flayan sava\u015f s\u00fcrecinin ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye’nin d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde ya\u015fanan belirgin azalmadan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Fitch, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek amac\u0131yla piyasaya 50 milyar dolardan fazla d\u00f6viz s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulad\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n uzamas\u0131 durumunda, d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 ve enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde daha fazla k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fme ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamada, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji ithalat\u0131na y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Fitch, kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelen y\u00fcksek enflasyon, para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik siyasi bask\u0131lar, d\u00f6viz krizlerinin tekrar etme riski ve rezervlerin d\u0131\u015f borca k\u0131yasla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131n\u0131n kredi notu \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmi\u015f ekonomi, g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kamu borcu ve bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi profilini destekleyen unsurlar aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131. Fitch, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyon tahminini 2 puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 27\u2019ye y\u00fckseltti ve 2027 sonunda enflasyonun y\u00fczde 21 seviyesine gerilemesini bekledi.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 milli gelirin y\u00fczde 1\u2019inden fazla etkileyebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n mart ay\u0131nda faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 40\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kararak enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede kararl\u0131 bir duru\u015f sergiledi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Fitch, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ayda vadesi dolacak d\u0131\u015f borcun 239 milyar dolar seviyesinde oldu\u011fu ve bu tutar\u0131n d\u00f6viz rezervlerine g\u00f6re y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu belirtildi. D\u0131\u015f likidite oran\u0131n\u0131n, 2025 sonunda y\u00fczde 82\u2019den 2027\u2019de y\u00fczde 98\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Fitch, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,6, 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 4,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca, e\u015fel mobil uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerindeki etkisini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Fitch, bir sonraki de\u011ferlendirme tarihini 17 Temmuz 2026 olarak belirledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Fitch Ratings, T\u00fcrkiye’nin uzun vadeli d\u00f6viz cinsinden kredi notunu ‘BB-‘ olarak teyit ederken, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc ‘pozitiften’ ‘dura\u011fana’ revize etti. Bu de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fin, T\u00fcrkiye’nin d\u00f6viz rezervlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1530,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-1529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1529\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1530"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1529"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=1529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}