BBVA Research, Orta Do\u011fu’daki artan gerilimlerin ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi hakk\u0131nda yeni bir rapor yay\u0131mlad\u0131. \u0130spanyol finans kurulu\u015fu, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu i\u00e7in enflasyon ve faiz tahminlerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya genelinde s\u00fcregelen sava\u015flar, \u00f6zellikle \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131yla petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 100 dolar\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131na neden oldu. Bu durum, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7t\u0131 ve enflasyonun y\u00fckselmesine sebep oldu. BBVA Research, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu ba\u011flamda nas\u0131l etkilenece\u011fini analiz etti.<\/p>\n
Raporda, k\u00fcresel ekonominin 2025\u2019te baz\u0131 \u015foklara ra\u011fmen dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ifade edilirken, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli olmas\u0131 durumunda 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalabilece\u011fi belirtildi. Ayr\u0131ca, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimlerin daha ihtiyatl\u0131 bir politika yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 zorunlu k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
BBVA’n\u0131n raporuna g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015fu ana kadar istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde devam etti, ancak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde bir yava\u015flama bekleniyor. Uzun s\u00fcren bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n, d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde olumsuz etkiler yaratabilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Enflasyon tahminleri hakk\u0131nda bilgi veren BBVA, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda enflasyonun %25 ve politika faizinin %32 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ayr\u0131ca, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan d\u0131\u015f finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n cari denge \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Rapor, rezervlerdeki azalmalar\u0131n ve dolarizasyonun d\u00f6viz kuru \u00fczerinde ek bask\u0131 yaratabilece\u011fini de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
BBVA Research, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisiyle ilgili yeni bir analiz sundu ve 2026 sonu i\u00e7in enflasyon ve faiz tahminlerini payla\u015ft\u0131. Raporda, Orta Do\u011fu’daki gerilimlerin etkileri ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1240,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-1239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1239","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1239"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1239\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1240"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1239"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1239"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1239"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gastronomigundemi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=1239"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}